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By-sector Brexit impact forecasts do not exist, says David Davis

By-sector Brexit impact forecasts do not exist, says David Davis

The Brexit Secretary was today forced to admit that the government has not assessed the impact of Brexit for different sections of economy to the European Union select committee.

David Davis has been called to resign over lies about the Brexit impact assessments.

The Brexit secretary said the government had produced a "sectoral analysis" of some industries but had not forecast what could happen under different outcomes after March 2019.

Pressing the issue, Mr Benn responded: "So the answer to the question is "no"?"

But Committee chairman Hilary Benn challenged Mr Davis at the hearing on Wednesday as to whether the documents received constituted impact assessments, or whether the assessments had been undertaken.

"No", Davis replied, explaining that such models were "not as straightforward as people imagine" due to the many variables.

"Sectoral analysis was used for a real reason, it's the analysis of what the sector looks like".

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As recently as six weeks ago, he claimed impact assessments existed in "excruciating detail" and shortly afterwards published a list of the sectors that the work covered.

"It is unbelievable that these long-trumpeted impact assessments don't even exist, meaning the government has no idea what their Brexit plans will do to the country", she said. When you have a paradigm change as in 2008, all the models are wrong.

But today he told the committee that "no systematic impact assessments" had in fact been carried out.

"We know not the size, but the order of magnitude of the impact", he added.

"Similarly, what we are dealing with here in every outcome - whether it is a free trade agreement, whether it is a WTO outcome or whether it is something between that on the spectrum - it is a paradigm change". "Whether it is through incompetence or insincerity, David Davis has been misleading Parliament from the start".

But he told the committee he had tried to provide "the closest we could" to what the House of Commons had demanded, subject to his responsibility not to release information which was commercially sensitive or could undermine the UK's negotiating position.

Mr Davis has already risked stoking tensions inside his Conservative party by suggesting that some forms of regulatory alignment with the European Union may be possible after the United Kingdom leaves the EU.


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